Saturday, September 1, 2012

Tony Pua Makes the Police Look Foolish

DAP’s Tony Pua (left) is nobody's fool. The police kept persisting with this myth that crime is under control in Malaysia and that crime statistics indicate a continuing decline. Until that anonymous letter surfaced to suggest that crime data had been manipulated.

The police at first played dumb and then, flatly denied the allegation and later, claimed that even after taking into account non-index crime, “overall crime (Index + Non-Index) has in fact reduced in 2010, 2011 and 2012 (year-to-date)”. The police insisted that the total index and non-index crime has dropped 7%, 9% and 5.3% respectively in 2010, 2011 and 2012.

Pua promptly rubbished these claims, explaining that based on statistics provided by PDRM, “index crime” has dropped from 209,572 in 2007 to 157,891 in 2011, or 24.7% over the period. However, “non-index crime” has on the contrary, increased from 42,752 to 72,106 or a massive 68.7% over the same period.

What is even more glaring is the fact that “non-index crime” is increasing annually as a proportion of total crime since 2007 based on PDRM data. It has increased from 16.9% of total crime in 2007 to 21.9% (2008) to 22.8% (2009) to 29.8% (2010) to a record of 31.4% in 2011.

According to Pua, the clear-cut disjoint between the significant fall in “index crime” versus the drastic increase in “non-index crime” points strongly towards data manipulation, and validates the accusation by the anonymous letter writer that the PDRM is systematically re-classifying “index crime” to “non-index crime” cases.

I agree. If indeed there was no manipulation of data, how would the police explain the divergent trends between index and non-index crime? I believe the police will stay mum on the matter; I don't even expect them to continue with their denials. Nobody will believe anyway. Meanwhile, crime escalates.

One example will suffice. The Star reported today that in the last two months – in just one neighbourhood, i.e. Bukit Bandaraya, Bangsar – there were twelve house break-ins (Metro, p 15).

Home Minister Hishamuddin Hussein has yet to grasp the gravity of the crime situation in this country! And to the police, my advice is: Nab criminals, spare the citizens!

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